predictionmarketspicks/mcp

**Canonical home:** predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.
A hosted **Model Context Protocol** server that gives AI agents quant tools for **Kalshi** and **Polymarket** prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, Kalshi's 15-minute markets and perps (with liquidation estimates), live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.
**Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it — per tool, wins and losses both, including the engines that lose money.** The live record: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record
- **Endpoint (Streamable HTTP):** https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm
- **Registry name:** com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
- **44 tools** — 37 free, 5 Pro, 2 free-with-depth-caps. No key needed for the free set. Every free tool answers in season, including the eight fantasy-draft tools, which now answer week-by-week market questions (the 2026 Senate map and per-race odds joined 2026-09-17; the Kalshi 15-minute board and the two perps tools joined 2026-09-26; the NHL board joined 2026-09-28; the graded track record, the Sleeper league view, start/sit and waiver targets joined 2026-10-11; the NBA prop price board joined 2026-10-11; the NFL game explainer, the NBA game-line board and NBA injury impact joined 2026-10-13; the NFL prop and ladder explainers joined 2026-10-14).
- **Fantasy draft landing page:** predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. During the season all eight answer week-by-week NFL market questions instead of draft questions.
See it work
- **Gemini CLI:** install in one command, ask which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open. (47s demo · setup)
- **Kalshi vs Polymarket, in one question:** ask where the two venues disagree, then whether they agree on the next Fed meeting. (50s demo · setup guide)
- **Kalshi 15-minute gold & Bitcoin + the BTC perp:** live boards and perp funding in one chat. (48s demo · commodity markets)
- **Claude, ChatGPT & Cursor:** paste one URL and ask. (40s demo · Cursor setup)
- **Kalshi weather edges + Kelly sizing:** forecast vs market, then the position size, in one chat. (46s demo · weather)
Connect
**One click:** Add to Cursor · Add to VS Code · Gemini CLI: gemini extensions install https://github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
**Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP** (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:
**Hosts that only speak stdio** — this package bridges one to the other:
That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 44 tools, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.
--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.
**Other hosted surfaces** (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):
| Server | Endpoint | Exposes |
|---|---|---|
| com.predictionmarketspicks/quant | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp?via=npm | All 44 tools |
| com.predictionmarketspicks/fantasy-draft | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-draft/mcp?via=github | 11 tools: the 8 draft tools (all answer in season with the week's market) plus the in-season league tools my_league, start_sit and waiver_targets |
| com.predictionmarketspicks/weather | https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=github | The 7-tool weather loop: weather_board (every open Kalshi daily-high strike) + edge_alerts (weather feed) + the five calculators |