cct15/war-dashboard-data

Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via Model Context Protocol (MCP). Updated daily.
MCP Tools
| Tool | Description |
|------|-------------|
| get_conflict_risks | Risk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons |
| get_political_events | High-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates |
| get_maritime_traffic | ⚠️ **Suspended** — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns status: unavailable. |
Install
Quick Start
Claude Desktop
Add to your claude_desktop_config.json:
Then ask Claude: *"What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"*
Direct API (REST)
Coverage
**6 conflict regions**: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America
**5 event types** with clear risk direction:
| Event Type | Meaning | Direction |
|-----------|---------|-----------|
| escalation | Military escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test) | risk_increase |
| ceasefire | Ceasefire or peace agreement reached | risk_decrease |
| ceasefire_cancel | Existing ceasefire breaks down | risk_increase |
| regime_change | Government falls or changes | risk_increase |
| diplomatic | Major diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty) | neutral |
Data Schema
conflicts.json
Each conflict includes:
| Field | Description |
|-------|-------------|
| conflict_id | Region identifier (e.g. russia_ukraine, iran_israel_us) |
| importance | Editorial priority: high (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or low (low probability, included for data completeness) |
| risk_level | Overall risk: high / medium / low |
| probability_30d / 7d / 1d | P(event occurs within time horizon) |
| situation_briefing | Daily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news |
| risk_impact | Structured impact analysis: industries[], assets[], channels[] (transmission paths) |
| risk_events[] | Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities |
| risk_events[].direction | risk_increase (higher prob = more danger) or risk_decrease (higher prob = less danger) |
| risk_events[].change_vs_7d_ago | Probability delta vs. 7 days ago |
| data_points | Number of data sources (for confidence assessment) |
| anomaly_detected | Whether probability diverges from news intensity |
political_events.json
Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.
| Field | Description |
|-------|-------------|
| event_summary | Event description (Chinese) |
| event_summary_en | Event description (English) |
| category | political / economic / natural_disaster |
| probability | Estimated probability of occurrence |
| importance | Editorial priority: high (recommended for display) or low (data completeness) |
| deadline | Event deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable |
| data_confidence | high / medium / low (based on trading volume) |
importance field
Both conflicts.json and political_events.json include an importance field: